Arsenal host Leeds United at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday, where Mikel Arteta’s side will look to control possession against Daniel Farke’s settled structure.
Bruno Guimarães and Declan Rice can dictate midfield, while Bukayo Saka and Christos Tzolis provide Arsenal with width around Kai Havertz.
Leeds can make the contest difficult by pressing aggressively and attacking quickly through Noah Okafor and Lukas Nmecha when Arsenal lose possession.
Arsenal’s ability to circulate the ball around Leeds’ pressure and isolate their wide attackers one-on-one should create opportunities, but Farke’s organized midfield can punish careless buildup.
Arsenal is coming off a 3-0 road loss against Brighton & Hove Albion on September 19 while Leeds United had a 0-0 home draw against Crystal Palace on September 20.
Arsenal is in second place in the Premier League standings with 12 points in five games while Leeds United is in fifth place with nine points in five games.
The player to watch in this game is Christos Tzolis, who has zero goals and one assist in five Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Tzolis a 57% chance to score against Leeds United.
According to Opta Analyst, Tzolis’ Expected Goals per Shot (xG Per Shot) this season stands at 0.05.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Arsenal 1.41
- Leeds United 7.40
- Draw 4.90
Spread
- Arsenal -1, -1.5 (1.83)
- Leeds United +1 +1.5 (1.95)
Total
- Over 2.5, 3 (1.91)
- Under 2.5, 3 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Premier League action on January 31 and Arsenal won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Christos Tzolis has a 57% chance to score, followed by Kai Havertz (49%) and Bukayo Saka (33%).
For Leeds United, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has a 17% chance to score, followed by Noah Okafor (14%) and Anton Stach (8%).
Analyst’s Pick
Arsenal 1.41
AccuScore gives Arsenal an 80% chance to win this game. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.5 to Leeds United 0.6.
