Aston Villa and Arsenal clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday.
As of December 1, Aston Villa is in fourth place in the Premier League standings with 24 points in 13 games while Arsenal is in first place with 30 points in 13 games.
The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Martinelli, who has one goal and zero assists in nine Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Gabriel Martinelli a 39.22 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 4 SCA and 0 GCA in nine Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Aston Villa 4.40
- Arsenal 1.82
- Draw 3.55
Spread
- Aston Villa +0.5 (1.94)
- Arsenal -0.5 (1.76)
Total
- Over 2.5, 3 (2.20)
- Under 2.5, 3 (1.58)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 18 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Donyell Malen has a 33.88 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.94 shots overall per sim, 1.24 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Gabriel Martinelli has a 39.22 percent chance to score. He averages 2.21 shots overall per sim, 1.36 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Arsenal 1.82
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 1.96 to Aston Villa 1.83.
