Football

Chelsea vs. Arsenal Preview

Chelsea and Arsenal clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Chelsea is coming off a 2-0 road win against Burnley on Saturday while Arsenal beat Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 at home on Sunday.

Chelsea is in second place in the Premier League standings with 23 points in 12 games while Arsenal is in first place with 29 points in 12 games.

The player to watch in this game is João Pedro, who has four goals and three assists in 12 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives João Pedro a 39.2 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 26 SCA and 3 GCA in 12 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds 

Team to Win (Regular Time)

  • Chelsea 3.30
  • Arsenal 2.18
  • Draw 3.35

Spread

  • Chelsea 0, +0.5 (1.94)
  • Arsenal 0, -0.5 (1.83)

Total

  • Over 2.5 (1.85)
  • Under 2.5 (1.90)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on March 16 and Arsenal won 1-0.

Projected Leaders 

For Chelsea, João Pedro has a 39.2 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.7 shots overall per sim, 0.96 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.

For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka has a 30.72 percent chance to score. He averages 2.55 shots overall per sim, 1.42 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Chelsea 3.30

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.96 to Arsenal 1.6.

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