Chelsea and Liverpool clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Friday. Chelsea is coming off a 3-1 home loss against Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday while Liverpool lost 2-1 on the road against Crystal Palace on Saturday.
Chelsea is in eighth place in the Premier League standings with eight points in six games while Liverpool is in first place with 15 points in six games.
The player to watch in this game is João Pedro, who has two goals and three assists in six Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives João Pedro a 57.76 percent chance to score against Liverpool. He has 14 SCA and 3 GCA in six Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Chelsea 2.75
- Liverpool 2.34
- Draw 3.70
Spread
- Chelsea 0, +0.5 (1.78)
- Liverpool 0, -0.5 (1.98)
Total
- Over 3 (1.91)
- Under 3 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 4 and Chelsea won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, João Pedro has a 57.76 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.59 shots overall per sim, 1.49 shots on goal per and 0.87 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 41.64 percent chance to score. He averages 1.83 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Chelsea 2.75
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 2.28 to Liverpool 1.65.
