Everton hosts Nottingham Forest in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Everton is coming off a 6-0 road loss against Chelsea on Monday while Nottingham Forest had a 2-2 home draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday.
Nottingham Forest is in 17th place in the Premier League standings with 26 points in 33 games while Everton is in 16th place with 27 points in 32 games.
The player to watch in this game is Abdoulaye Doucouré, who has six goals and zero assists in 26 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Abdoulaye Doucouré a 32.58 percent chance to score against Nottingham Forest. He has 58 SCA and 4 GCA in 26 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles, and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles, and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Everton 1.85
Nottingham Forest 4.10
Draw 3.70
Spread
Everton -0.5 (1.80)
Nottingham Forest +0.5 (1.95)
Total
Over 2.5, 3 (1.98)
Under 2.5, 3 (1.78)
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 2 and Everton won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Everton, Abdoulaye Doucouré has a 32.58 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.41 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
For Nottingham Forest, Chris Wood has a 42.06 percent chance to score. He averages 1.17 shots overall per sim, 0.79 shots on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.
Everton 1.85
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Everton in this one. Average score in simulations is Everton 1.57 to Nottingham Forest 1.45.
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