Liverpool hosts Arsenal in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Liverpool is coming off a 3-1 road loss against Chelsea on Sunday while Arsenal lost 2-1 at home against AFC Bournemouth on Saturday.
Liverpool leads the Premier League standings with 82 points in 35 games while Arsenal is in second place with 67 points in 35 games.
The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah, who has 28 goals and 18 assists in 35 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Mohamed Salah a 38.44 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 157 SCA and 26 GCA in 35 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Liverpool 2.13
- Arsenal 3.35
- Draw 3.40
Spread
- Liverpool 0, -0.5 (1.81)
- Arsenal 0, +0.5 (1.98)
Total
- Over 2.5, 3 (2.00)
- Under 2.5, 3 (1.78)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 27 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 38.44 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.31 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.34 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka has a 31.28 percent chance to score. He averages 1.91 shots overall per sim, 1.03 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Liverpool 2.13
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 1.9 to Arsenal 1.2.