Manchester City vs. Burnley Preview

Manchester City clashes with Burnley in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Arsenal on Sunday while Burnley had a 1-1 home draw against Nottingham Forest on Saturday.

Manchester City is in ninth place in the Premier League standings with seven points in five games while Burnley is in 16th place with four points in five games. 

The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has six goals and zero assists in five Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Erling Haaland a 68.22 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 9 SCA and 1 GCA in five Premier League games this season. 

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Manchester City 1.19
• Burnley 13.00
• Draw 7.00

Spread

• Manchester City -2 (1.91)
• Burnley +2 (1.87)

Total

• Over 3, 3.5 (1.87)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.90)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 31, 2024 and Manchester City won 3-1.

Projected Leaders 

For Burnley, Bryan Mbeumo has a 12.64 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.37 shots overall per sim, 0.52 shots on goal per and 0.13 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 68.22 percent chance to score. He averages 4.91 shots overall per sim, 3.14 shots on goal per and 1.19 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 1.19

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 3.18 to Burnley 0.56.