Arsenal vs. Manchester City Preview

Arsenal clashes with Manchester City in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Sunday. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 road win against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday while Manchester City beat Chelsea 3-1 at home on Saturday.

Arsenal is in second place in the Premier League standings with 47 points in 23 games while Manchester City is in fourth place with 41 points in 23 games.

The player to watch in this game is Kai Havertz, who has eight goals and two assists in 20 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Kai Havertz a 40.82 percent chance to score against Manchester City. He has 40 SCA and 2 GCA in 20 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Arsenal 2.13
• Manchester City 3.25
• Draw 3.55

Spread 

• Arsenal 0, -0.5 (1.81)
• Manchester City 0, +0.5 (2.00)

Total

• Over 2.5 (1.72)
• Under 2.5 (2.08)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 22 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Kai Havertz has a 40.82 percent chance to score. He averages 1.71 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.52 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 48.02 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.51 shots overall per sim, 1.61 shots on goal per and 0.63 goals per sim.  

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal 2.13

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.1 to Manchester City 1.52.